The candidate on the left is the preferred choice of foreign Deep States
With only 2 0r 3 weeks to go and mail-in voting already well underway, the US Presidential election is incredibly close. However, what is not so close is the result, at least according to the betting markets.
While polls give DEI-pick Kamala Harris a small lead in overall votes and place the two candidates neck-and-neck in the electoral college, the betting markets are strongly for Donald Trump, who has promised to immediately back off US support for Ukraine so that Putin's zombie meat-wave attacks can prevail.
In fact, the betting markets are back where they were when a floridly senile Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate.
As reported by Forbes:
"The blockchain-based election betting site Polymarket priced in a 60% chance of a Trump victory, breaking the 60% threshold for the first time since late July, days after President Joe Biden bowed out of the race. Other prominent sites which allow users to wager money on the outcome of the election have similar shifts toward Trump: Betfair places a roughly 58% chance at a Trump win, Kalshi 57%, PredictIt 54% and Smarkets 58%. Election Betting Odds, which aggregates implied betting odds across the five major markets, gives Trump a 57% chance at victory, tilting in Trump’s favor by the widest margin since July 29, up from about 48% at the end of September."
The apparent discrepancy between polls and betting markets is possibly explained by the wall-known fact that polls have typically undercounted Trump's support in the past. Also, some analysts believe the result will come down to whichever candidate can mobilise his or her support to actually get out and vote, with Trump holding an advantage with his following of "slightly crazed boomers."
While a Trump win could severely undermine the geopolitical order in the Ukraine and lead to a victorious and emboldened Russia in Europa, there will also be consequences in the Middle East, where the Israeli government will feel empowered by a Trump victory to take an even more aggressive stance against Iran.
How a future Trump presidency squares the interests of Russia and its ally Iran with those of Israel will certainly be interesting to watch.
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